Securing America’s Higher Education Advantage

Securing America’s Higher Education Advantage
America’s colleges and universities still lead the world, but rising costs, falling public trust, and rapid AI adoption demand faster change.
Key Takeaways
America’s colleges and universities still lead the world, but rising costs, falling public trust, and rapid AI adoption demand faster change. Federal policy should help accelerate transformation while upholding academic freedom and university autonomy.
- Align incentives: Require colleges whose federal borrowers persistently default to pay some share of the cost, giving institutions skin in the game.
- Make college more affordable: Extend Pell eligibility to low-income high school students in high-quality early-college programs and encourage three-year bachelor’s degrees, cutting time and cost to degree and increasing student success.
- Match higher education to workforce needs and skills: Break bottlenecks in fields like medicine, nursing, and skilled trades where more graduates are needed; incorporate work-based learning into more degree pathways; and ease visas for graduates in high-demand fields.
The Challenge
America’s system of higher education is one of the country’s most durable competitive assets. Colleges and universities birth new industries, attract the world’s best talent, drive technological breakthroughs, and propel intellectual and social innovation. Universities are also central to the American Dream—producing the skilled workers who power the economy and serving as incubators of democracy that prepare students for participating in a pluralistic society.
These advantages cannot be taken for granted. For students and families, the price of college is increasingly prohibitive. Just 12 percent of Americans feel colleges are doing an excellent or good job on affordability; 63 percent feel they are doing poorly.1 College enrollment rates have fallen over the past 15 years, driven by high sticker prices, uneven aid, heavy debt burdens, and uncertain returns.2 Concerns about cost and value, combined with ideological attacks on who universities admit and what they teach, have bred a crisis of confidence: only 38 percent of Americans now express substantial confidence in higher education, down from 57 percent in 2015.3 Lagging public trust has invited heavy-handed government interventions that impinge upon university integrity and independence.4
Chart
A year of public college takes a far larger share of family income than a generation ago
Published tuition, fees, housing, and food at public four-year institutions (in-state) as a share of mean family income, by income quintile, 1987-88 to 2025-26
A year at a public four-year university now costs the average lowest-quintile family 89% of its annual income, up from 49% in 1987-88; for middle-income families the share rose from 14% to 23%. Lines show published prices divided by mean family income for the calendar year in which each academic year begins, both in current dollars. Dots show average net cost of attendance (tuition, fees, housing, food, books, and other expenses minus all grant aid) for dependent students from the lowest-income families at public four-year institutions, divided by lowest-quintile mean family income in the prior year; the 2019-20 range spans minimally to moderately selective institutions. Income brackets for the dots (under $35,000 to $40,000) approximate but do not exactly match the Census lowest quintile. Net prices for middle-income students are also lower than published prices and have declined since 2012-13. Sources: College Board, Trends in College Pricing 2025, Table CP-2; College Board, Trends in College Pricing 2019, Figure 11, and 2024, Figure CP-11 (NCES National Postsecondary Student Aid Study); U.S. Census Bureau, Historical Income Table F-3.
America’s global lead is also narrowing. Other countries are competing aggressively for students and researchers, while U.S. policies deter many applicants. New international enrollment at American institutions fell 17 percent in fall 2025; graduate enrollment declined 12 percent.5 The federally funded research model that supports teaching and research at many top universities has become unstable due to capped payments, terminated grants, and abrupt changes in federal support.
These pressures arrive amid rapid technological change. Employers expect nearly 40 percent of required job skills to change by 2030.6 AI has already rendered open-book exams, problem sets and take-home essays virtually obsolete, offering students often irresistible tools for cognitive offloading—transferring the burden of analysis and thought from human to machine.7 Professors and university leaders are being forced to rethink not just how to teach but what to teach. We are in the early stages of a drastic transformation of education at every level, and responsive strategies remain sporadic and experimental at best.
Without a more affordable, trusted, globally competitive, financially sustainable, and AI adaptive higher education system, the U.S. will surrender its advantage in higher education. Federal policy must help lead the way.
Leadership Now Position
Leadership Now supports national, state, and campus strategies that fortify higher education—driving faster change and greater accountability. We are guided by five principles:
01
Higher education is essential to national competitiveness.
The U.S. cannot lead without maintaining and strengthening its colleges and universities as premier global institutions for teaching, learning, and research.
02
Higher education is America’s strongest engine of upward mobility.
Higher education is unmatched as a catalyst for upward mobility and must evolve to extend opportunity to an even larger share of Americans.
03
Opportunity depends on affordability and real returns.
Higher education must be incentivized to offer lower-cost options and deliver greater value.
04
AI is reshaping what and how universities teach.
The impact of AI on universities will be profound. To survive, universities must innovate and experiment, and be prepared to make rapid and substantial changes.
05
Institutional independence, intellectual freedom, and competitive research funding sustain excellence.
Political interference and arbitrary government mandates weaken the independence and integrity of U.S. universities. Institutions must remain accountable for results and the use of public resources, in ways that preserve their independence to govern themselves.
Policy Recommendations
The higher education sector encompasses a tremendous range of institutions with different missions, populations, and objectives—a source of innovation and achievement. Policy should recognize these differences rather than impose a single model for success. The federal role in higher education is, by design, limited: federal policy should concentrate on areas where Washington has lawful, legitimate authority, and rely on voluntary incentives rather than directives or coercive tactics that stretch the bounds of federal power. While our recommendations are directed primarily at the federal government, we urge states and the institutions themselves to consider the implications.
I. Align Federal Policy Incentives to Improve Outcomes and Protect Institutional Independence
The federal government spends about $65 billion annually in grants, subsidies, and work-study for higher education, plus another $88 billion in student loans.8 It should use those funds to incentivize affordability, increase return on investment, and shape the workforce America needs. These incentives will matter most where federal aid makes up a large share of revenue—such as broad-access public universities and regional colleges—and far less at highly selective institutions. Rather than dictating programs or curriculum, the federal government should tie its contributions to measurable results, give students and families transparent data on returns, and operate within clear boundaries that prevent funding from being used as leverage over curriculum and institutional governance.
- An eligibility floor for federal support. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, enacted in 2025, established for the first time a minimum earnings standard for degree programs across American higher education.9 Beginning in mid-2027, programs whose graduates steadily earn less than comparable young adults with the next-lower level of education can lose access to federal student loans—a useful floor that still leaves room for other measures of educational and social value.
- Risk-sharing on debt repayment. Congress should supplement the eligibility floor with graduated institutional risk-sharing: institutions whose borrowers default or fail to make progress on repayment at rates well above those of comparable institutions should reimburse the federal loan program for a modest share of the resulting cost. That measure should count every federal borrower, including students who leave without completing a degree, giving institutions a financial stake in completion without dictating how they pursue it—programs such as CUNY’s ASAP and Georgia State’s student-success work show what is possible.10 Risk-sharing should not turn colleges into job-placement programs, and it must be designed so that universities are not penalized for serving students from more challenged backgrounds or for preparing them to enter valuable but less lucrative professions.
- Create pathways to reduce the duration and cost of a degree. Federal and state policy should help students shorten the time to a degree and lower its cost. States such as Texas, Indiana, Massachusetts, New York, and North Carolina have pioneered pathways for high school students to earn significant transferable college credit—in some cases a full 60-credit associate’s degree11—and randomized studies show that carefully designed early-college programs boost postsecondary enrollment and degree attainment.12 Congress should authorize an Early Chance Pell program to fund low-income high school students in high-quality early-college programs, which would also propel the growth of three-year degrees that cut both time and cost by 25%. Policymakers should also encourage and evaluate 90-credit bachelor’s degree programs, particularly in career-oriented fields.The recently enacted Workforce Pell expansion, which extends Pell eligibility to short-term workforce training programs, deserves support as an additional on-ramp to improved employment.13 Its value will depend on tying eligibility to rigorous evidence that credentials actually raise earnings, since research shows some offer little or no benefit.14
- Rigorous data collection and transparency. Effective reform depends on reliable data. Congress should restore, modernize, and enforce the mandates of the Institute of Education Sciences and the National Center for Education Statistics, whose staffing and research capacity were sharply reduced beginning in 2025.15 A privacy-protected federal student data system should track enrollment, transfer, completion, repayment, and post-college earnings across institutions, degree programs, and short-term credentials, including how AI is affecting graduate outcomes. Students and parents should certify that they have had the opportunity to review program-level data on costs and employment patterns before enrolling and borrowing.
- Establish a legislated standard for funding sanctions. Accountability must flow in both directions, with clear constraints that prevent funding leverage from being used to interfere in university governance or compel ideological concessions. Before terminating assistance for an alleged Title VI civil rights violation, the government generally must give notice, provide an opportunity for a hearing, make an express finding of noncompliance, and limit the sanction to the recipient and program in which the violation was found. Congress should extend comparable safeguards to all federal funding actions against colleges and universities.
- Modernize accreditation while ensuring its integrity and independence. There is bipartisan consensus that traditional accreditation has limited entry of new and innovative models and focused too much on inputs rather than outcomes. Reforms should address these weaknesses without undermining independent quality control or using accreditation to undercut academic freedom and free speech.
II. Accelerate Innovation to Enhance Degree Relevance and Leverage AI
College instruction and curricula largely hew to longstanding models that may not match what students need to succeed in careers transformed by AI. Colleges need to adapt, but there is no roadmap for what lies ahead. The federal government can help by funding innovation and ensuring that standards—such as those of accreditors—do not impede change. State governments and college leaders must also take up the charge of incorporating work-based learning and driving AI transformation.
- Incorporate more work-based learning into degree programs. Evidence shows that students—especially those at broad-access colleges and from low-income backgrounds—who participate in work-based learning are significantly more likely to get a high-quality first job and launch high-earning careers.16 Co-ops, internships, research positions, practicums, and service learning let students explore careers, gain durable skills employers value, and earn recommendations from supervisors, and they are becoming more important as AI eliminates entry-level jobs. Federal, state, and campus policies should ensure that these experiences can earn credit toward degrees, do not interrupt financial aid, and keep students on track for timely graduation, and employers of all kinds should be partners in offering them.
- Lean into AI to ensure that it improves, rather than undercuts, learning and skills. AI is rapidly transforming both the skills employers demand and how universities teach and assess learning. While AI skills are essential for the workforce, cognitive offloading to AI can also threaten the development of durable skills—such as communication, critical thinking, and analytical reasoning—that employers identify as top hiring priorities.17 Universities must ensure that academic knowledge and durable skills are not just taught but learned, and assessed rigorously in ways that account for AI access. They must also equip students with AI fluency across disciplines, now a baseline workforce expectation. Because AI’s impact will vary significantly by discipline, institutions should empower faculty to rethink what and how they teach. The Department of Education’s Experimental Sites authority, currently dormant, should be used to fund and rigorously evaluate pilots of AI-era teaching and assessment.
III. Compete Effectively for Global Talent
American universities remain a powerful magnet for international talent, but that advantage is eroding. The U.S. hosted nearly 1.18 million international students in 2024-25, 57 percent of them in STEM fields.18 These students feed the U.S. workforce: more than 418,000 students and recent graduates were authorized for Optional Practical Training (OPT) in 2024.19 Recent federal guidance restricting internship work authorizations has already prompted major universities to pause approvals, further undermining the appeal of studying in the U.S.20 Enhanced social media vetting, visa processing delays, record-high refusals, and new rules restricting periods of study—currently on hold pending litigation—have also contributed to a decline in international student enrollment.21 Congress should make it considerably easier for talented students to study here and for highly skilled graduates of U.S. universities to remain, while retaining strong security and labor protections.
Chart
New international enrollment is falling for the second consecutive year
New international students enrolled at U.S. institutions, 2008/09–2025/26
*2025/26 is an estimate, applying the 17% decline in new international enrollment reported in IIE’s Fall 2025 Snapshot on International Student Enrollment to the 2024/25 total. Source: Institute of International Education, Open Doors 2025.
- Make it easier for graduates in critical fields to remain in the U.S., gain work experience, and earn permanent residence. Congress should give international students pursuing advanced degrees in designated STEM and other critical fields dual-intent status, so they can pursue a U.S. education while remaining open to lawful permanent residence, without changing ordinary security and eligibility screening. Curricular Practical Training should be expressly permitted for international students in good standing, and post-graduation OPT—now a central bridge between American universities and the skilled workforce—should be codified in law, with appropriate safeguards. Graduates with U.S. master’s or doctoral degrees in these fields should also have access to a dedicated employment-based green-card pathway outside existing numerical caps when they secure a qualifying U.S. job, subject to labor-market wages, recruitment protections for U.S. workers, and security screening. Existing employment-based caps have remained largely unchanged since 1990, impairing access to talent in needed fields.22
- Expedite the visa process for students and scholars. Unexplained denials and unpredictable processing delays risk deterring well-qualified students and researchers from coming to the U.S. The Departments of State and Homeland Security should organize student and scholar visa processing around academic calendars, publish clear processing-time data, and provide an escalation mechanism for applications stranded in prolonged administrative processing. Security screening should remain rigorous and risk-based, without subjective denials for disfavored political views unlinked to demonstrated security threats.
IV. Make It Easier for Americans to Enter High-Paid, High-Demand Fields
The United States faces persistent shortages in fields central to economic growth, technological leadership, national security, and basic public needs—especially medicine, engineering, computing, and advanced technology. With many Americans feeling locked out of high-earning jobs and upward mobility, this amounts to a self-defeating paradox that must be corrected urgently. Federal policy should preserve America’s ability to attract exceptional people from abroad while doing far more to expand the education and training of Americans for fields where shortages are chronic.
- Break bottlenecks that constrict access to attractive fields. In some occupations where employers struggle most to find workers, Americans are lining up to enter but are locked out by shortages of training capacity. In 2025, more than half of U.S. medical school applicants were not admitted,23 and nursing schools turned away more than 93,000 qualified applications, largely for lack of faculty and clinical placements.24 The skilled trades face similar limits, with too few apprenticeships, instructors, and specialized equipment. Federal policy should target these identifiable bottlenecks rather than broadly subsidizing particular industries. Recent steps—1,200 new Medicare-supported medical residency positions,25 performance-based payments for new apprenticeship slots,26 and Workforce Pell13—should be expanded into a comprehensive strategy aimed at ending workforce shortages.
- Accelerate pathways to in-demand fields not requiring four-year degrees. AI and automation are increasing demand for skilled technicians who install, maintain, and operate complex systems. Federal policy should treat Workforce Pell, community college technical programs, and employer-validated credentials as core pathways into these growing fields.
V. Make Research Funding Reliable and Cut Research Red Tape27
University-based researchers cannot effectively run multiyear laboratories and research programs when funding and rules for existing grants are subject to abrupt change. NIH terminated more than 1,800 grants between February and June 2025 while new grant activity also slowed sharply and overhead payments were slashed.28 While these measures were later blocked, they forced universities and research teams to absorb substantial uncertainty and disruption,29 and the administration is now proposing regulations to further cement agency discretion to cancel already-awarded grants.30
- Protect awarded grants from cancellation for political reasons. Grants awarded through a merit-based, peer-reviewed process should not be cancelled due to a change in administration without due process and a right of appeal. Once an agency awards a grant under published criteria, early termination should require a defined basis: material noncompliance, fraud or research misconduct, failure to make required progress, or a comparable justification. Administrations and Congress properly decide budgets, strategic priorities, and the subjects of future grant competitions, but changed priorities should govern future competitions, not existing awards. If a political appointee seeks to override scientific and technical review, the agency should provide a reviewable written explanation tied to the statutory program and published grant criteria.
- Reform research overhead through a stable process. Legitimate debate exists over how to reimburse facilities and administrative costs. Congress should permit reform while requiring any government-wide change in methodology to proceed prospectively, through transparent rulemaking, reliable cost analysis, and a reasonable transition period.
- Cut the compliance burden that consumes research time. Estimates suggest academic researchers spend more than 40 percent of federally funded research time on administrative and regulatory requirements.31 OMB and the federal science agencies should harmonize disclosure forms, researcher profiles, security certifications, and progress reports across agencies, so researchers can maintain a single reusable federal profile rather than repeatedly supplying identical information.
Relevant Legislation and Rulemaking
Current legislation that advances elements of these recommendations includes:
Pell Grant Sustainability Act, H.R. 1666
Rep. Sean Casten (D-IL)
Would index the maximum Pell Grant to inflation and permanently reauthorize the program’s discretionary authority.
Fast Track To and Through College Act, H.R. 7117
Rep. Johnny Olszewski (D-MD)
Bipartisan legislation designed to reduce college costs and accelerate completion through early-college pathways and improved credit transfer.
Opportunities for Success Act of 2025, H.R. 6606
Rep. Suzanne Bonamici (D-OR)
Would modernize Federal Work-Study, including greater support for work-based learning and employment connected to students’ career goals.
College Transparency Act, S. 2511
Sens. Bill Cassidy (R-LA) and Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)
Bipartisan legislation to create a privacy-protected national postsecondary student data system covering enrollment, completion, costs, and outcomes.
Keep STEM Talent Act of 2025, S. 1233
Sens. Richard Durbin (D-IL), Mike Rounds (R-SD), and Angus King (I-ME)
Bipartisan legislation creating a pathway for qualifying graduates with advanced U.S. STEM degrees to remain here, with labor and security safeguards.
Keep Innovators in America Act, H.R. 8013
Reps. Sam Liccardo (D-CA) and Jay Obernolte (R-CA)
Bipartisan legislation amending the Immigration and Nationality Act to codify the Optional Practical Training (OPT) program.
Follow the Science Act, H.R. 7173
Rep. Diana DeGette (D-CO)
Would strengthen scientific integrity at NIH and constrain politically driven diversion of research funds.
Endnotes
- 1.Lumina Foundation & Gallup. (2024). Lumina Foundation–Gallup confidence in higher education survey. https://news.gallup.com/poll/712748/americans-say-four-year-colleges-affordable.aspx ↩
- 2.U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. (2025, April 22). College enrollment and work activity of recent high school and college graduates—2024. https://www.bls.gov/news.release/hsgec.htm ↩
- 3.New America. (2026, July 28). New findings on student and public stances on higher ed. https://www.newamerica.org/insights/new-findings-on-student-and-public-stances-on-higher-ed/; Gallup. (2023, July 11). Americans’ confidence in higher education down sharply. https://news.gallup.com/poll/508352/americans-confidence-higher-education-down-sharply.aspx ↩
- 4.Center for American Progress. Mapping federal funding cuts to U.S. colleges and universities. https://www.americanprogress.org/article/mapping-federal-funding-cuts-to-us-colleges-and-universities/ ↩
- 5.Institute of International Education. (2025, November). Fall 2025 international student enrollment snapshot. https://opendoorsdata.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Fall-Snapshot-Key-Findings-2025_EMBARGO.pdf ↩
- 6.World Economic Forum. (2025, January). The future of jobs report 2025. https://reports.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Future_of_Jobs_Report_2025.pdf ↩
- 7.Massachusetts Institute of Technology. (2026, September). AI and education report. https://aiandeducation.mit.edu/report/ ↩
- 8.College Board. (2025). Trends in college pricing and student aid 2025. https://research.collegeboard.org/media/pdf/Trends-in-College-Pricing-and-Student-Aid-2025-final_2.pdf ↩
- 9.National Association of Student Financial Aid Administrators. (2025, July). Trump signs sprawling reconciliation package into law: Here’s how it impacts higher ed. https://www.nasfaa.org/news-item/36704/Trump_Signs_Sprawling_Reconciliation_Package_into_Law_Here_s_How_it_Impacts_Higher_Ed ↩
- 10.Scrivener, S., Weiss, M. J., Ratledge, A., Rudd, T., Sommo, C., & Fresques, H. (2015, February). Doubling graduation rates: Three-year effects of CUNY’s Accelerated Study in Associate Programs (ASAP) for developmental education students. MDRC. https://mdrc.org/sites/default/files/doubling_graduation_rates_es.pdf; Georgia State University. (2021). Complete College Georgia: 2021 report. https://cdn.niss.gsu.edu/app/uploads/2023/08/24152344/2021-Report-COmplete-College-Georgia.pdf ↩
- 11.Learn More Indiana. Indiana College Core. https://learnmoreindiana.org/?p=6984 ↩
- 12.What Works Clearinghouse. Study review: Early college high schools (Edmunds et al., 2017). Institute of Education Sciences. https://ies.ed.gov/ncee/wwc/Study/86428 ↩
- 13.Congressional Research Service. Short-term Pell Grants (IF13253). https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF13253 ↩
- 14.Burning Glass Institute & American Enterprise Institute. (2025, June). Holding new credentials accountable for outcomes. https://www.burningglassinstitute.org/research/holding-credentials-accountable-to-outcomes; Brookings Institution. The credential boom: Which ones help workers? https://www.brookings.edu/articles/credential-boom-which-ones-help-workers ↩
- 15.National Association of Student Financial Aid Administrators. What cuts in Institute of Education Sciences funding means for higher education research. https://www.nasfaa.org/news-item/35685/What_Cuts_in_Institute_of_Education_Sciences_Funding_Means_For_Higher_Education_Research ↩
- 16.Brookings Institution & Child Trends. (2018, October). Pathways for high-quality jobs. https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/Brookings_Child-Trends_Pathways-for-High-Quality-Jobs-FINAL.pdf ↩
- 17.Business-Higher Education Forum. (2024). Forging partnerships to align education and industry for the workforce of tomorrow. https://bhef.com/sites/default/files/2024-BHEF-Forging%20Partnerships.pdf ↩
- 18.Institute of International Education. (2025, November 17). Open Doors 2025 report. https://www.iie.org/news/open-doors-2025-press-release/ ↩
- 19.Congressional Research Service. (2025, May 30). Optional Practical Training (OPT) for foreign students in the United States (IF12631). https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/IF12631 ↩
- 20.U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, Student and Exchange Visitor Program. (2026, August). Broadcast message: Curricular Practical Training guidance. https://www.ice.gov/doclib/sevis/pdf/bcm_260802.pdf ↩
- 21.KEG. Social media vetting impacts international student U.S. interest. https://www.keg.com/social-media-vetting-impacts-international-student-u.s.-interest; Cohen Tucker Law. Beyond the headlines: What the State Department staffing crisis means for your U.S. visa process. https://cohentuckerlaw.com/beyond-the-headlines-what-the-state-department-staffing-crisis-means-for-your-u-s-visa-process/; Newsweek. U.S. student visa refusals hit record high. https://www.newsweek.com/us-student-visa-refusals-hit-record-high-11818845; FWD.us. Duration of status. https://www.fwd.us/news/duration-of-status/ ↩
- 22.Congressional Research Service. Employment-based immigration (R47164). https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R47164 ↩
- 23.Association of American Medical Colleges. (2025, December). U.S. medical schools enroll record number of students in 2025. https://www.aamc.org/news/us-medical-schools-enroll-record-number-students-2025 ↩
- 24.American Association of Colleges of Nursing. (2026, May). Schools of nursing see enrollment increases across most program levels, signaling strong interest in nursing careers. https://www.aacnnursing.org/news-data/all-news/schools-of-nursing-see-enrollment-increases-across-most-program-levels-signaling-strong-interest-in-nursing-careers-208 ↩
- 25.American Medical Association. (2024). 2024 National Advocacy Conference action kit: GME and physician workforce. https://www.ama-assn.org/system/files/2024-nac-action-kit-gme-physician-workforce.pdf ↩
- 26.U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration. (2026, July 7). News release. https://www.dol.gov/index.php/newsroom/releases/eta/eta20260707 ↩
- 27.See also Leadership Now Project. (2026). Research and development: Keeping America at the frontier. Business Plan for America. ↩
- 28.U.S. Government Accountability Office. (2025, August 5). National Institutes of Health—Application of the Impoundment Control Act to grant terminations (B-337203). https://www.gao.gov/assets/890/880607.pdf ↩
- 29.Holland & Knight. (2026, January). The NIH proposed 15 percent indirect cost rate cap is out—for now. https://www.hklaw.com/en/insights/publications/2026/01/the-nih-proposed-15-percent-indirect-cost-rate-cap-is-out-for-now ↩
- 30.Congressional Research Service. (2026, September 11). May 2026 proposed rule on Uniform Guidance for federal grants: Summary of selected changes (IN12697). https://www.everycrsreport.com/files/2026-09-11_IN12697_444afc53eecf6754fdc0e2658e8225ab12d80545.pdf ↩
- 31.National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. (2016). Optimizing the nation’s investment in academic research (Chapter 3). https://www.nationalacademies.org/read/21824/chapter/3 ↩