Capital Markets Americans Can Trust

Capital Markets Americans Can Trust
A plan to expand access and restore integrity to capital markets while reinforcing America’s financial leadership
Key Takeaways
U.S. capital markets are among America’s most valuable strategic assets, but the broad access and equal rules that sustain them are under pressure.
- Expand access to capital markets: Lower barriers to going public without weakening disclosure, require standardized transparency from private funds, and seed tax-advantaged accounts for every child at birth.
- Enforce equal rules for all participants: Ban officials in all three branches from trading individual stocks and political prediction markets, and apply anti-corruption laws to memecoins issued by public officials.
- Preserve America’s financial leadership: Codify Federal Reserve independence, complete Treasury market reform, and set clear, enforceable rules for stablecoins and crypto markets.
The Challenge
Capital markets are the foundation of the American economy. Since the mid-20th century, market transparency, consistent rules, and investor confidence have made the United States the world’s premier destination for capital — a strategic asset without peer.
That asset faces new tests. Half as many U.S. companies are publicly listed today as in the 1990s, and those that do go public tend to do so at far higher valuations, after most of their growth has already happened. Conflicts of interest among those who write the rules have eroded faith in market fairness. The institutional foundations of dollar dominance—reserve currency status and central bank independence—face periodic pressure. And digital assets are emerging as the next generation of financial infrastructure without adequate guardrails.
These challenges are real but solvable. Markets that Americans trust are markets that the world trusts, and preserving that trust is essential to keeping U.S. markets the deepest, most open, and most attractive in the world.
The privatization of investment opportunities
Since the 1990s, the number of publicly listed U.S. companies has fallen by nearly half—from roughly 8,000 to around 4,000. Listing counts never recovered after the dot-com era, even as total U.S. market capitalization climbed to near record highs, leaving public markets increasingly dominated by fewer, larger companies. Meanwhile, the number of private equity-backed U.S. companies has grown more than fivefold, from about 2,000 in 2000 to more than 11,500 by mid-2024.1 Regulatory burdens and the ready availability of private capital have made staying private more attractive than going public.2
Chart
Fewer public companies, worth far more
U.S. listed domestic companies and their total market capitalization, 1980–2025
Listed companies peaked at 8,090 in 1996 and fell 52% to 3,908 by 2025, while market capitalization rose from $8.5 trillion to $68.9 trillion. Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators (data from World Federation of Exchanges), updated Oct 8, 2026.
The consequences for ordinary investors are significant. The U.S. stock market has delivered extraordinary returns over the past two decades, but firms now go public later—if at all—meaning a growing share of wealth creation happens in private markets beyond the reach of most American investors. The AI boom illustrates this vividly: OpenAI, Anthropic, and SpaceX are companies collectively valued at several trillion dollars that spent years of extraordinary growth as private firms, inaccessible to retail investors.3
The shift extends beyond equity. Private credit has grown into a $1.5 trillion market that operates with far less transparency—and potentially greater systemic risk—than traditional corporate lending.4 The result is a structural gap between what wealthy and institutional investors can access and what is available to everyone else.
Eroding confidence in market integrity
Nothing undermines trust in markets more than questionable conduct from those who write the rules. Members of Congress have repeatedly traded individual stocks while holding information unavailable to the public.5 The President and his family members have launched memecoins generating hundreds of millions in fees from undisclosed buyers.6 When those in power appear to profit from their rulemaking responsibilities, everyday Americans reasonably conclude that markets are rigged.
Prediction markets have meanwhile opened a new frontier in market integrity concerns. These platforms allow participants to wager on real-world outcomes, from elections and military operations to sporting contests. As their popularity grows, so does the potential for individuals with privileged information to profit at others’ expense. Federal prosecutors recently charged a U.S. Army soldier with using classified information about a planned operation targeting Nicolás Maduro to place successful prediction market bets, generating more than $400,000 in profits.7
Each of these developments points to the same problem: a declining trust that the implicit bargain of American capitalism still holds—that markets are open, rules apply equally, and returns flow to those who take genuine risk.
America’s financial leadership is under pressure
America’s financial leadership rests on the dollar’s global reserve status, which confers unique advantages: lower borrowing costs, greater diplomatic and trade leverage and the ability to impose sanctions worldwide. Those advantages depend on global confidence in American institutions—confidence that is no longer automatic.
The dollar’s share of global reserves has declined from 71% in 2001 to 57% today as foreign central banks diversify into gold and other currencies.8 Strategic competitors, including China and Russia, have reduced their dollar dependence by settling more of their trade in other currencies.9 Rising fiscal deficits, now approaching 6% of GDP, raise questions about long-term dollar credibility.10 Political pressure on the Federal Reserve has compounded these concerns.11 An unsustainable fiscal trajectory combined with threats to central bank independence risks eroding the perception of U.S. Treasuries as a global safe haven.
Regulatory challenges in digital assets
Digital assets have grown into a multi-trillion-dollar asset class. The infrastructure being built around them, from instant cross-border payments to the tokenization of traditional assets, may define the next generation of global finance. America’s ability to lead that transition depends on rules that create confidence. So far, rules have not kept pace with adoption.12
Fraud and market abuse that would trigger immediate enforcement in traditional securities markets go largely unchecked in crypto. The FBI reports that Americans lost over $11 billion to crypto fraud in 2025 alone—through fake investment platforms, romance scams, government impersonation schemes, and other illicit activity.13 The basic consumer protections that Americans take for granted in stocks and bonds are largely absent.
$11.4B
in reported crypto fraud losses in 2025, up sevenfold since 2021
$300B
in dollar-pegged stablecoins in circulation, up from $27 billion in December 2020
Sources: FBI Internet Crime Complaint Center (IC3) annual Internet Crime Reports, losses reported by victims under cryptocurrency-related descriptors; DefiLlama Stablecoins, total circulating supply of USD-pegged stablecoins as of Oct 29, 2026.
Stablecoins illustrate both the promise and the stakes. By enabling instant, low-cost, borderless transactions, stablecoins have become genuinely useful in global commerce, facilitating trillions of dollars in transactions annually.14 The GENIUS Act, signed into law in July 2025, established the first federal rules for these instruments.15 Done right, stablecoin regulation is an opportunity: 98% of stablecoins are pegged to the U.S. dollar and 80% of U.S. dollar stablecoin transactions take place outside of the U.S.16 Clear and credible rules can cement dollar dominance in the next generation of digital finance—while protecting Americans from financial criminals in the process.
Leadership Now Position
Leadership Now believes that America’s capital markets underpin our country’s growth and dynamism. Maintaining their integrity and openness is essential to preserving U.S. economic leadership. Four principles guide our approach:
01
Markets work best when rules apply to all.
Markets earn trust when the same rules apply to every participant—a sitting elected official, a sophisticated investor, or a retiree. Opacity and insider advantage harm ordinary investors and corrode the basic institutional trust that makes American markets the world’s most attractive.
02
Broader participation with proper safeguards strengthens markets and democracy.
Ensuring that ordinary Americans can have a direct stake in our country’s most dynamic companies is essential to restoring the implicit bargain of American capitalism. Well-designed vehicles that give ordinary savers access to private markets—with appropriate safeguards—can be part of the solution.
03
America’s financial leadership is a strategic national asset.
The dollar’s reserve status and the depth of U.S. capital markets are among our most valuable strategic advantages. Protecting them requires independent monetary policy, fiscal responsibility, and a legal and regulatory environment grounded in fair process and the rule of law.
04
Innovation succeeds when clear rules create confidence.
Regulators should act with speed, fairness, and clarity to give innovators the confidence they need to build in the U.S. rather than abroad. New financial products, including cryptocurrencies and prediction markets, should meet the same basic standards of transparency, consumer protection, and market integrity that Americans expect everywhere else.
Policy Recommendations
Leadership Now supports reforms that restore trust in U.S. capital markets, expand access to investment opportunities, preserve America’s financial leadership, and establish clear rules for new financial technologies.
I. Expand Capital Market Access and Opportunity
- Make it easier for firms to go public. The SEC has made reversing the decline in public listings a centerpiece of its agenda, advancing reforms to simplify disclosure requirements and expand smaller companies’ access to streamlined capital raising.17 We support lowering barriers to going public, but not at the expense of the transparency that makes public markets trustworthy. The SEC’s proposal to make quarterly reporting optional, for example, risks reducing the flow of timely information that ordinary investors depend on.18 The right balance protects meaningful disclosure for ordinary investors while reducing compliance costs for smaller firms.
- Bring transparency to private markets. Private credit and private equity have grown into markets worth trillions of dollars, yet the funds that specialize in these asset classes are often opaque. Since many underlying businesses and borrowers cannot reasonably bear public market disclosure costs, transparency should come from the funds themselves. The SEC should standardize disclosure of leverage, liquidity, and portfolio concentration so regulators have sufficient real-time data to identify systemic risks before they materialize. As access expands—through channels like the Department of Labor’s proposed rule facilitating 401(k) investments in private assets19—retail investor protections should strengthen accordingly, including transparent fee disclosures and liquidity terms that match the underlying assets.
- Give every American a stake in our most dynamic companies. One of the most powerful ways to restore trust in capital markets is to ensure every American has a direct stake in them. Policymakers should explore tax-advantaged investment accounts seeded at birth so that every American child can benefit directly from the long-term growth of the U.S. economy. So-called “Trump accounts,” where every child is given $1,000 at birth, offer a promising model.20
II. Enforce Equal Rules for All Participants
- Strengthen insider trading rules for political and government officials. Congress should prohibit officials across all three branches of government, including members of Congress, senior executive branch officials, and federal judges, from owning or trading individual stocks. The same prohibitions should extend to prediction markets on political events.. Leading banks and investment firms already heavily restrict their own employees’ personal trading. Public officials should be held to at least the same standard.
- Apply fraud and anti-corruption laws to memecoin issuance by public officials and their family members. When public officials and family members issue or promote speculative tokens, purchases by those seeking regulatory favor or government contracts create corruption risks that existing laws were not designed to address. The SEC, CFTC, and DOJ should coordinate enforcement against token issuances that function as unregulated influence purchases.
- Protect consumers from crypto fraud. Federal regulators should establish dedicated crypto fraud enforcement, require exchanges to implement fraud monitoring and victim recovery mechanisms comparable to those in traditional financial markets, and close the anonymity loopholes that make crypto the preferred vehicle for scammers and money launderers.
- Draw a clear line between prediction markets and gambling. The CFTC and individual states are currently locked in litigation over who regulates prediction markets, creating regulatory uncertainty that serves no one.21 Congress should resolve it by statute: Contracts tied to genuine economic outcomes belong under federal derivatives oversight, while contracts that are functionally sports or entertainment wagering should remain subject to state gambling law. A sports bet should be regulated as gambling whether it takes place in a casino or on an online platform.
III. Preserve America’s Financial Leadership
- Codify Federal Reserve independence. The Supreme Court’s 5-4 ruling in Trump v. Cook in June 2026 affirmed that Fed governors may be removed only for cause and with due process, but stopped short of fully defining cause.22 Congress should finish the job: define clear statutory standards for removal, explicitly exempt monetary policy decisions from executive branch review, and set transparent criteria for Fed appointments that prioritize expertise and independence.
- Complete Treasury market reform. The nearly $30 trillion Treasury market is too important to leave fragile. The SEC should complete the implementation of central clearing for Treasury transactions on its current schedule, improve real-time trade reporting, and strengthen oversight of leveraged positions that have contributed to past market stress.23
- Implement the GENIUS Act fully and close its remaining gaps. The GENIUS Act established the first federal framework for stablecoins, requiring 1:1 reserves in high-quality liquid assets, certified monthly disclosures, and guaranteed consumer redemption rights. But implementation is behind schedule: regulators missed the July 2026 deadline for final rules, leaving reserve eligibility and custody requirements unresolved as the law’s January 2027 effective date approaches.24 The Act also leaves real gaps, including whether exchanges can pay yield on stablecoin holdings and what standards foreign issuers must meet. Regulators should finish the rules, and Congress should close the gaps.
- Pass comprehensive crypto market structure legislation. The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act was a significant step toward a coherent regulatory framework. The bill passed the House but failed a Senate procedural vote in September 2026, stalled over ethics provisions that did not clearly cover the president, vice president, and their families.25 A final framework should resolve that dispute by extending its ethics rules to the highest offices, require exchanges to register with a primary regulator, mandate segregation of customer assets, and establish consumer protections comparable to those in traditional financial markets. Clear rules keep financial innovation in the U.S.
Together, these reforms will strengthen market integrity, reinforce confidence in the fairness of American capital markets, and help preserve the foundations of U.S. economic leadership for decades to come.
Relevant Legislation and Rulemaking
Legislation
Halting Ownership and Non-Ethical Stock Transactions (HONEST) Act, S. 1498
Sen. Josh Hawley (R-MO) and bipartisan co-sponsors
Passed by the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee in July 2025, the HONEST Act would prohibit members of Congress, their spouses, and dependent children from owning or trading individual stocks, permitting only diversified funds and Treasuries. The bill requires outright divestment and bans the use of blind trusts. Its prohibitions also extend to the President and Vice President, taking effect with the next presidential term.
PREDICT Act, H.R. 8076
Rep. Nikki Budzinski (D-IL) and bipartisan co-sponsors
Introduced in March 2026, this bipartisan bill would bar members of Congress, their spouses and dependent children, congressional staff, the president, vice president, political appointees, senior executive branch officials, and federal judges from trading prediction market contracts tied to political events. Violators would pay a fine equal to 10% of the contract’s value, give up any profits, and have the violation publicly disclosed. Leadership Now supports the bill’s expansive definition of covered persons and believes a final stock trading ban bill should adopt a similar approach.
Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, H.R. 3633
Rep. French Hill (R-AR) and bipartisan co-sponsors
The Clarity Act passed the House in July 2025 but failed a 49-50 procedural Senate vote in September 2026. The bill would grant the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction over digital commodity spot markets, maintain SEC jurisdiction over investment contract assets, and require exchanges to register with a primary regulator. The vote failed over ethics provisions that Democrats argued did not adequately cover the president, vice president, and their families’ crypto holdings.
Prediction Markets are Gambling Act, S. 4160
Sen. Adam Schiff (D-CA) and Sen. John Curtis (R-UT)
Introduced in March 2026, this bipartisan bill would classify sports and casino-style event contracts as gambling, making them subject to state law and outside CFTC jurisdiction. The bill would resolve ongoing litigation between the CFTC—which has asserted broad authority over prediction markets—and state regulators, who argue that sports-related contracts are gambling subject to state law. With federal courts divided, a definitive resolution will likely require congressional action.
Fed Integrity and Independence Act, S. 2817
Sen. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) and Democratic co-sponsors
This bill would amend the Federal Reserve Act to prohibit Fed governors and bank presidents from holding dual appointments within the executive branch— blocking the White House from installing active central bankers into parallel presidential roles. Current protections rest more on norms than statute, a vulnerability that recent political pressure on the Fed has exposed.
Regulatory Actions
SEC Capital Formation Agenda (“Make IPOs Great Again”)
Chairman Paul S. Atkins, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
Since 2025, the SEC has pursued a rulemaking agenda aimed at reversing the decades-long decline in public listings. Key elements include simplifying disclosure requirements around a materiality standard, expanding shelf registration access for smaller companies, extending JOBS Act accommodations for emerging growth companies, and a proposal to permit semiannual rather than quarterly reporting.
Proposed Safe Harbor for Alternative Assets in 401(k) Plans
U.S. Department of Labor
Proposed in March 2026, this rule would make it easier for 401(k) plans to offer alternative assets such as private equity and private credit. Plan managers who follow a prescribed evaluation process would be shielded from the litigation that has kept most workplace retirement plans away from private assets. The Department expects these assets to enter plans mainly through target-date funds and similar diversified vehicles. The comment period closed in June 2026; a final rule could come by year’s end.
Proposed Rulemaking Concerning Prediction Markets
Commodity Futures Trading Commission
The CFTC’s draft rule, released in June 2026, would establish the first comprehensive federal framework for prediction markets. The draft defines gaming and focuses heavily on sports-related contracts, delineating which categories may be prohibited. The rule’s ultimate scope and enforcement will depend on the outcome of ongoing litigation between the CFTC and numerous states.
Endnotes
- 1.Reeds, S. (2024, December). The public to private equity pivot continues. Citizens Bank. https://www.citizensbank.com/corporate-finance/insights/private-equity-trends.aspx ↩
- 2.Xiao, K., Ewens, M., & Xu, T. (2025, August 13). Fewer companies are going public. Are regulations driving the drop? Columbia Business School. https://business.columbia.edu/research-brief/regulations-costs-public-companies-ipo-decline ↩
- 3.Shapero, J. (2026, May 26). Tech titans prepare for blockbuster IPOs in new front of AI race. The Hill. https://thehill.com/policy/technology/5892110-openai-spacex-anthropic-stock-market/ ↩
- 4.Financial Stability Board. (2026, May 6). Report on vulnerabilities in private credit. https://www.fsb.org/2026/05/report-on-vulnerabilities-in-private-credit/ ↩
- 5.Levinthal, D., & Hall, M. (2023, January 3). 78 members of Congress caught violating law on stock trades. Business Insider. https://www.businessinsider.com/congress-stock-act-violations-senate-house-trading-2021-9 ↩
- 6.Fortune Editors. (2026, March 20). Trump’s memecoin does have a purpose: Access to the White House. Fortune. https://fortune.com/2026/03/20/trump-memecoin-gala-white-house-crypto-playbook/; Alexander, D. (2025, June 5). Here’s how Trump made an estimated $1 billion on crypto. Forbes. https://www.forbes.com/sites/danalexander/2025/06/05/this-is-how-much-trump-has-made-from-crypto-so-far/ ↩
- 7.U.S. Department of Justice, Office of Public Affairs. (2026, April 23). U.S. soldier charged with using classified information to profit from prediction market bets. https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/us-soldier-charged-using-classified-information-profit-prediction-market-bets ↩
- 8.International Monetary Fund. (2026). Global foreign exchange reserves trends [Dataset]. IMF Data. https://data.imf.org/en/dashboards/cofer%20dashboard ↩
- 9.Fong, C., & Maizland, L. (2025, September 18). China and Russia: Exploring ties between two authoritarian powers. Council on Foreign Relations. https://www.cfr.org/backgrounders/china-russia-relationship-xi-putin-taiwan-ukraine#chapter-what-are-their-economic-ties ↩
- 10.Congressional Budget Office. (2026, February 11). The budget and economic outlook: 2026 to 2036. https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61882 ↩
- 11.Powell, J. (2026, January 11). Statement from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20260111a.htm ↩
- 12.Shalett, L., Edwards, S., Galindo, D., Cavallo, S., & Traum, J. (2025). Asset allocation considerations for cryptocurrency (Special Report). Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. https://advisor.morganstanley.com/seven-brz-group/documents/field/s/se/seven-brz-group/MSSBNA20251001576762_%281%29.pdf; Fink, L., & Goldstein, R. (2025, December 1). Larry Fink and Rob Goldstein on how tokenisation could transform finance. The Economist. https://www.blackrock.com/gls-download/literature/article-reprint/larry-fink-rob-goldstein-economist-op-ed-tokenization.pdf ↩
- 13.Federal Bureau of Investigation, National Press Office. (2026, April 6). Cryptocurrency and AI scams bilk Americans of billions [Press release]. https://www.fbi.gov/news/press-releases/cryptocurrency-and-ai-scams-bilk-americans-of-billions ↩
- 14.Ghosh, S. (2026, January 8). Stablecoin transactions rose to record $33 trillion in 2025. Bloomberg. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-08/stablecoin-transactions-rose-to-record-33-trillion-led-by-usdc ↩
- 15.GENIUS Act, S. 1582, 119th Cong. (2025). Sponsored by Sen. Bill Hagerty. https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-bill/1582/text ↩
- 16.Lipsky, J. (2025, June 3). For dollar-backed stablecoins to be truly stable, the U.S. needs to set international standards. Atlantic Council. https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/dollar-backed-stablecoins-international-standards/ ↩
- 17.Atkins, P. (2026, April 28). Remarks at the Small Business Capital Formation Advisory Committee meeting. U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. https://www.sec.gov/newsroom/speeches-statements/atkins-042826-remarks-small-business-capital-formation-advisory-committee-meeting ↩
- 18.Investor Advisory Committee. (2026, June 4). Recommendation of the Investor Advisory Committee regarding quarterly vs. semiannual reporting. U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. https://www.sec.gov/files/recs-iac-re-quarterly-vs-semiannual-reporting-062026.pdf ↩
- 19.Gibson Dunn. (2026, April). DOL proposes safe harbor for selection of designated investment alternatives in 401(k) plans. https://www.gibsondunn.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/dol-proposes-safe-harbor-for-selection-of-designated-investment-alternatives-in-401k-plans.pdf ↩
- 20.U.S. Department of the Treasury. (2026, May 28). Treasury announces the launch of the Trump Accounts app and next steps for Trump Accounts [Press release]. https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0508 ↩
- 21.Front Office Sports. (2026, June 13). CFTC’s proposed sports rules won’t quiet prediction-market critics. https://frontofficesports.com/?p=239099 ↩
- 22.Congressional Research Service. (2026, July 6). Trump v. Cook and for-cause removal of Federal Reserve governors (LSB11449). https://www.everycrsreport.com/reports/LSB11449.html ↩
- 23.BNP Paribas. (2026, July 30). U.S. Treasury securities central clearing. https://globalmarkets.cib.bnpparibas/u-s-treasury-securities-central-clearing/ ↩
- 24.The Block. (2026, July 18). US regulators miss GENIUS Act’s one-year deadline for final stablecoin rules. https://theblock.co/news/regulation/2026-07-18-us-regulators-miss-genius-acts-one-year-deadline-for-final-stablecoin-rules-408843 ↩
- 25.National Law Review. (2026, September). Senate fails to advance CLARITY Act. https://natlawreview.com/article/senate-fails-advance-clarity-act ↩